Correlated Delta-Gamma
The Correlated Delta-Gamma is a superior implementation of the Riskmetrics™ or Parametric Model.
The RiskMetric methodology is a short term (i.e. Overnight) mean-zero
static model.
This model computes the portfolio mean-zero
volatility from Today up to Tomorrow.
This model implies:
- The timeline is static. Positions are never aged.
- There are no Forward Projections. Assets are used with the Business Date's conditions (coupons, option time-to-expiration, etc),
which simplifies calculations.
Forward Volatilities are therefore only needed when computing risk on fixed
income derivatives.
- A 1 day volatility is applied to the Position As of Business Date and then adjusted for correlation between Risk Factors.
- Any Horizon beyond 1 day multiplies results by the square root of time.
In other terms it measures, the change in portfolio value according to changes in correlated market risk factors by performing a Taylor series expansion of price change.
For further details see the parametric calculation principles.
The superior implementation called Correlated Delta-Gamma is completely Generic. Instead of taking the volatility of the Risk Factors multiplied by the theoretical sensitivity to price (i.e. the delta) which in the RiskMetrics implementation is simply 0.01 (i.e. 1 percent) times the price volatility (except for interest rates that are multiplied by the vertex duration).
The superior model take the much more complicated route of applying a full Taylor series expansion.
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Instead of Multiplying the Price times one percent, we shift each risk factor individually and then
perform a full
revaluation to obtain
the trade's effective fair value change rather than the theoretical change.
This operation is performed up and down for both delta and Gamma
in order to account for convexity.
Moreover interest rate vertices are not time adjusted shifts on the zero coupon price
to convert rate to price, but instead we shift each underlying par yield, revalue
the yield curve's underlying instrument to which the vertex belongs to (Money Market, Forward Rate
Agreement, Futures, Swaps, or Bonds), we then bootstrap the entire curve and
extract zero coupon price changes for up and down movements
Correlated Delta-Gamma assumes a default 1% (one percent) Relative Shift on all risk factors
(DV01). You can however request any shift size either
- Absolute.
- Relative (Percent).
Negative Forward Rates can be very tricky and depend on:
- The slop and curvature of the yield curve.
- The type of instruments that are stripped and bootstrapped to build the curve
- The forward daycount convention used for Swaps, Futures or FRAs (i.e. the number of days between End and Begin period divided by the year basis.
- The discount factor daycount convention (days between coupon payment dates divided by days per annum, etc).
- etc.
The Parametric model presents the advantage of being simple, fast and easy to compute. and yet acceptably accurate when dealing with linear instruments over short horizons (usually 24 hours).
The parametric model fits very nicely into the mean zero
framework.
Parametric Horizon and Market Data Sampling:
The Parametric Model is a simple model that works well with linear instruments over a one day horizon. Some model implementation actually go beyond the one day horizon and compute quarterly (balance sheet risk) monthly (pension funds) or weekly frequencies
As a rule of thumb, market data should be sampled at a frequency that is:
- In line with the Manager's reporting frequency.
- That offers reliable and commonly available market data for ALL Risk factors in the portfolio.
The Parametric Model relies heavily on the assumptions that volatility is
Stationary.
Hence in the Parametric Framework, portfolio volatility does
NOT
vary over time.
In the case of daily returns, the portfolio's daily volatility is scaled up
to the horizon sought in the analysis by simple square root of time
multiplication.
In general terms, this means volatility is constant throughout time, which
is an acceptable compromise for short term horizons and portfolios
that only contain linear instruments.
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When dealing with longer horizons, Autocorrelation shows up
in either one of two forms: